As Americans head to the polls today, all eyes will be on the US midterms. Consensus has Democrats taking the House and Republicans keeping the Senate, but elections in recent years have been notable for springing surprises, both in the US and elsewhere. Next week’s results may provide their own… Read the article
It seems you can’t open a newspaper without reading another negative headline about China. Most ‘western’ financial journalists love to write about trade wars, currency manipulation, shadow banking and mounting debt, the narrative being that China has a myriad of problems, the scale and potential ramifications of which are huge.… Read the article
In this month’s video, Investment Director, Ritu Vohora looks at the sharp divergence in equity markets. Are we at an inflection point?
Global equity markets sit at an important juncture. They have diverged sharply this year, with the US roaring to new highs, while most non-US equity markets have faltered… Watch the video
It’s no surprise that in an ever evolving and complex world where people are constantly overloaded with new information, our natural human tendency is to search for simplicity. We’ve seen this evolve in the investment world as much as anywhere else with many investors now having a single focus when… Read the article
Responsible investment by the bay
Taking place in a different location each year, the PRI in Person conference brings together signatories of the United Nations Principles for Responsible Investment (PRI) and other investment professionals to discuss all of the pressing issues that responsible investors are facing.
I attended this year’s… Read the article
“Karma is like a rubber-band: it can only stretch so far before it comes back and smacks you in the face.” – Unknown
As US equities continue their record breaking bull run, market participants have understandably started to question how much longer this will continue for and whether we’re entering… Read the article
Gold posted its fifth straight monthly drop and has fallen almost 8% YTD despite escalating trade tensions and geopolitical risks. In this month’s update, Ritu Vohora, Investment Director looks at why the precious metal seems to have lost its lustre and safe haven status.… Watch the video
Come September, the biggest change to the sector structure in the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) history will take place, with more than 8% of the S&P 500 index market cap being re-classified into the new Communication Services sector. Under the changes, the existing Telecommunication Services sector will be combined… Read the article
I’m often asked what I think poses the greatest threat to the current US bull market. Rising rates? Inflation? Regulation of the FAANGs? Whilst these all pose potential risks to the earnings power of the market, the issue that currently concerns me most is tariffs – and the prospect that… Read the article
Earnings disappointments from the likes of Facebook has sparked concerns whether the stupendous growth of tech stocks can continue. After a decade wins, are the FAANGs losing their bite? In this month’s update, Ritu Vohora, Investment Director looks at whether this could be a return for… Watch the video
With World Cup fever captivating the globe and the tournament providing lots of surprises, Investment Director, Ritu Vohora, looks at the importance of having a strong offence and defence strategy when thinking about sector… Watch the video
Last month (June 2018), the Japanese Financial Services Agency rolled out the first revision to its Corporate Governance Code. The improvement in corporate governance in Japan has played a big part in the Abenomics Japanese equities recovery story. This much-anticipated revision will provide further impetus for Japan Inc to behave… Read the article
In this month’s update Ritu Vohora, Investment Director, explores the impact of rising US yields and a resurgent dollar on emerging markets. Is this a déjà vu of 2013’s ‘Taper… Watch the video
In this month’s update Ritu Vohora, Investment Director, reflects on the Q1 earnings season. It’s been exceptional so far, at least compared to expectations. Are we at ‘peak… Watch the video
Are today’s technology titans exploiting their market position without any attention to broader stakeholder welfare? Essentially, this is the implicit question being discussed in most media today.
Given the recent news flow, it certainly feels like technology has had a rough start to the year. In the past few weeks,… Read the article
This Saturday (April 14th) sees the 175th running of the Grand National, the most famous jump race in the world. With thrills and spills throughout its 4-mile, 4-furlong length, the Grand National is something of a national institution. Nearly 10 million people up and down the country are expected to… Read the article
In this month’s update Ritu Vohora, Investment Director, looks at the threat of trade protectionism on global… Watch the video
Stories in the media about fake news, Russian trolls, secretive organisations like Cambridge Analytica improperly using personal data to influence political elections – it all sounds like something out of an episode of House of Cards.
Despite Mark Zuckerberg and Sheryl Sandberg’s claims that Facebook will do better in the… Read the article
Since the start of 2016, the US stock market has rallied the best part of 35%, with the bulk of that coming since the election of Donald Trump. The corollary of this is that one of the most common questions we field from clients relates to American valuations and whether… Read the article
Today (March 22nd) is World Water Day which aims to focus attention on the importance of water not only in our daily lives, but also for the sustainable development of the global economy. With the world’s population continuing to rise hand in hand with urbanisation, global water demand… Read the article
In this month’s update Ritu Vohora, Investment Director, examines the implications of February’s spike in market volatility. The bull market is likely still intact, but we are entering choppier… Watch the video
China was one of the best performing emerging markets last year as the stockmarket soared. This result probably surprised many investors who are more familiar with gloomy warnings about the country’s slowing economy, overheating property market and rising debt levels.
The rally arguably reflected growing confidence about the… Read the article
The abrupt reversal of equity markets in the last few weeks has sent shivers down investors’ spines, particularly as momentum was the dominant factor behind the rally that preceded it. Time to panic? On the contrary, history shows that buying into short-term weakness has been a fruitful strategy for long-term… Read the article
In this month’s update Ritu Vohora, Investment Director, looks at the implications for US tax reform on equities. How much is priced in already and will the new fiscal stimulus provide a boost to US… Watch the video
In this month’s update Ritu Vohora, Investment Director, looks at what effect macroeconomic events this year could have on… Watch the video
When I sat down to write my review of 2016 I had to admit that it had been a tough year for smaller company fund managers as the sector’s median fund had underperformed the Numis Smaller Companies Index (NSCI) by 2.7%.
With a month to go in 2017, the median… Read the article
In this month’s update Ritu Vohora, Investment Director, looks at what has driven the ‘most hated bull market in history’ and asks how much further it has to… Read the article
Guest contributor: Jenny Rodgers, Investment Manager, M&G Multi Asset team
The stockmarket in the UK hit a new all-time high in early November, but it would be hard to describe the recent UK financial and business press headlines in recent months as unambiguously good news. What’s going on?
Mixed signals… Read the article
For the first few years after the 2008 financial crisis, I often only had one slide with me at presentations and this was it:
The chart shows the trend line since 1849 of the US stockmarket (the unbroken diagonal line above) increasing by 6.2% per annum (after inflation).… Read the article
In this month’s update Ritu Vohora, Investment Director, asks whether the environment is now more favourable for active… Read the article
The reflation trade has regained traction in recent weeks with global bond yields rising and renewed discussions in the US on tax and regulatory reform, promising a fiscal boost. Added to the mix has been rhetoric from central banks around the world on tighter monetary policy. Improving economic data and… Read the article
In this month’s update Siobhan Pandya, Head of Equity Markets Content reviews recent trends in UK small… Read the article
This year has not quite followed the script: investors were expecting improving economic growth and rising inflation to be accompanied by steeper yield curves, with the more defensive/quality stocks and so-called ‘bond proxies’ coming under pressure as bond yields rose. The strong rebound in value in H2 2016 was heralded… Read the article
There is no denying that the recent cryptocurrency boom resembles the one we saw among dotcom companies in the late 1990s. Celebrities then were taking equity stakes in start-ups in exchange for promoting them, and we are seeing a similar trend today.
In the late 1990s, over… Read the article
Earlier this year, data from the UK’s Continuous Mortality Investigation Mortality Projections Committee showed that life expectancy improvements have slowed dramatically. Initially thought to be a blip in the data, there is increasing evidence, both in the UK and in other developed countries, that this is a structural change in… Read the article
Last October, my colleague Tom Dobell wrote about the absurdity of how companies are forced to treat their long-term pension liabilities.
After another couple of reporting periods characterised by falling discount rates, I wanted to lay out in a slightly more mathematical fashion why I think Tom… Read the article
In this month’s update Ritu Vohora, Investment Director looks at what is driving the momentum in… Watch the video
Like the ghost in Charles Dickens’s “A Christmas Carol,” recent price action in Japanese equity markets has been an unwelcome echo of the past. Outperformance of stocks with more stable earnings streams has resembled the market dynamics that provided a headwind to value investors in the decade after the financial… Read the article
Is the era of cheap money coming to an end? In this month’s update Ritu Vohora, Investment Director, reviews central banks increasingly hawkish… Watch the video
Scary stats abound around the ageing population and many column inches have been dedicated to the burden this will place on the health service and the pension system. But older workers could prove to be the saviour of the workforce.
Andy Briggs, the government’s business champion for older workers, said… Read the article
Are political surprises and uncertainty now the new normal? It could appear that way after yesterday’s general election resulted in a hung parliament after the ‘dead cert’ Conservative majority predicted just seven weeks ago. The Conservatives have emerged as the largest party and are seeking to form a minority government… Read the article
Global Q1 2017 earnings delivery was the best quarter in over six years. In this month’s update Ritu Vohora, Investment Director, reviews the earnings outlook for the rest of the… Read the article
As expected, and as promised during his campaign, US president Donald Trump yesterday announced that the US will withdraw from the Paris Climate Accord, the 2015 agreement setting greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction targets for individual countries. One of the major achievements of the agreement was the near universality of… Read the article
As the General Election approaches, politicians on all sides will no doubt claim to be the best custodians of the UK economy. Brexit might be front of mind for many voters, but economic competence has always been a key vote winner – and loser. So for investors, what can history… Read the article
The election of Moon Jae-in as Korea’s new president is, we think, good news for shareholders in Korean companies, as we expect President Moon to drive further improvements in corporate governance standards leading to better returns for shareholders and ultimately higher share prices.
For… Read the article
The active-versus-passive debate is once again back in the limelight with the news this week of low-cost passive provider Vanguard’s launch of new website for personal investors. This simply adds fuel to the flames: figures from EPFR suggest that in the past 12 months, passive equity funds have… Read the article
For centuries, the parable of “The Blind Men and the Elephant”* has been used to illustrate how overemphasising a specific part of a complex situation can lead to the wrong conclusion, even if that part is indeed both real and important.
The same is true in the world… Read the article
M&A activity has begun 2017 on a positive note after falling in 2016. In this month’s update Ritu Vohora, Investment Director, considers whether the current level of activity is… Read the article
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Welcome to the M&G Multi Asset Team’s Allocation blog, previously known as the Episode blog. We have changed the name of our blog to resonate better with our readers in Europe, however, the content and purpose of the blog has not changed. The Allocation blog continues to aim to provide unique market perspectives from our dedicated team of experienced asset allocators.OK